Winning A Fortune review and trial Starts Tommorrow.
In my post last on Wednesday I gave a preview of the first full review / trial that I am going to do. The Service is a (nearly) free tipping blog called Winningafortune.blogspot.com and the blogs writer goes by the pseudonym Changing Days (CD for short).
If I had started following the service from Wednesday, when I posted, I would have already been in profit thanks to a 5 to 1 winner that he advised yesterday (that I did not back!!!)
Anyway “No use crying over spilt milk”, I will now list my reasons for wanting to Review CD’s service, they are as follows.
- Winningafortune has a profitable track record at level stakes betting of one hundred plus points. Also I have studied the stats and I believe it has got that all exclusive edge.
- Changing Days (CD) exhibits most of the traits that I think are a requirement to be a professional sports investor, such as he knows his market, he knows his edge and why he has got the edge. He displays the discipline and patience required for any loosing runs.
- I have looked back at every post and Changing Days(CD) has responded to comments in a friendly and helpful manner. He has also responded to my questions in a friendly and well thought out way .All of which, to me suggests he will give good customer service.
- The cost of the service is (nearly) free. What I mean by (nearly) free is that there is a PayPal donate button on the site. So you can pay nothing or as much as you think the service is worth to you.(More on the amount to voluntary Donate later in this post.)
With regards to number of tips per day, they range from one or two most winter days to as many as seven during the height of the summer flat season.
CD usually posts his tips between 11AM and 1PM. He advises to then get your bets on as soon as possible.
Some stats in Brief (provided by CD)
Total number of bets 1218
Total wins 178
Strike rate 14.61%
Average odds of selection 7.52/1
Average odds of winning selection 6.46/1
Longest Winning sequence 3
Longest losing sequence 45
EDGE 8.59%
Further Information
As you can see From the stats a more than adequate profit can be made by just betting at level stakes, However I am going to use the current staking plan that CD uses, which is to back at 1% of the bank as the bank rises. If the bank drops still bet the initial bet amount (which will be more that 1% of the reduced bank). If however a particularly bad run occurs losing 50% of the bank I will cut the stakes in half to protect the bank.
Service Fees (donations)
Even though it is possible for anybody to look at the Winning a fortune blog and get the tips free, I like to be fair, so I have worked out what I consider to be a fair payment scheme that goes as follows:
I will make a donation if I win and the win lifts my bank to a new all time high.
I will donate ten percent of the difference between the previous high of the bank and the new high of the bank.
For Clarification here are three examples.
Example 1
Initial Bank £200
Win £10
New Bank £210
Donation £1 (Which is 10% of (£210-£200))
Example 2
Initial Bank £200
Losses £20
Win £15
New bank £195
Donation £0 (Even though I have had a £15 winner the new bank total is still not as high as the initial bank)
Example 3
Initial Bank £200
Losses £20
Win £30
New Bank £210
Donation £1 (Which is 10% of (£210 – £200))
I have put a lot of thought into a fair donation policy because I personally believe that anyone who uses CD’s service should make a donation because of the value he is creating and also if he continues to be as profitable as the stats suggest his service will offer as good a value as any other service that I am aware of.
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